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7Geno Smith
New York Jets#713 yrs expWest Virginia75 · 221 lbBest at ball security, weak sack avoidance
Each axis is a percentile against every qualified quarterback over the same window. The dashed white shape is the position average; the gold ring marks elite (90th percentile).
72: quality starter
One number for how well Smith has actually played lately, not a talent rating. 70% is the skill profile, weighted towards efficiency; the rest is how steady his games are and whether he still produces against the better defences. Ranked against every qualified quarterback; 99 is the best. Over the last three seasons he scores 64 (#27 of 44).
Trend and schedule are shown for context but kept out of the number: over a handful of games they're mostly noise.
This week's lines against his last 17
Each bar is a game; green cleared the line. "Market says" is the bookmaker's price with the margin taken out. Our own prop model is switched off until it passes a public audit, so this is history and the market, not a tip.
Passing TDs over 1.5
Passing yards over 220.5
How his games are spread
Game by game
Every game
| Game | Opponent | Cmp | Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | Rush yds | EPA | Over 220.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 wk 9 |  KC | 18 | 32 | 165 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 8 | -10.8 | No |
| 26 wk 8 |  LV | 20 | 32 | 290 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | +11.7 | Yes |
| 26 wk 7 |  MIA | 23 | 30 | 287 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | +12.2 | Yes |
| 26 wk 6 |  NE | 20 | 30 | 252 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -1 | +5.9 | Yes |
| 26 wk 5 |  CLE | 17 | 30 | 182 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | -11.3 | No |
| 26 wk 4 |  CHI | 8 | 15 | 119 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -4.9 | No |
| 26 wk 3 |  DET | 31 | 37 | 321 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 12 | +10.9 | Yes |
| 26 wk 2 |  GB | 27 | 41 | 247 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 17 | +4.3 | Yes |
| 26 wk 1 |  TEN | 19 | 24 | 215 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | +9.8 | No |
| 25 wk 17 |  NYG | 20 | 28 | 176 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | -4.8 | No |
| 25 wk 16 |  HOU | 16 | 23 | 201 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | +1.7 | No |
| 25 wk 14 |  DEN | 13 | 21 | 116 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -2.7 | No |
| 25 wk 13 |  LAC | 18 | 23 | 165 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -6 | -2.1 | No |
| 25 wk 12 | CLE | 30 | 44 | 285 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 8 | -20.3 | Yes |
| 25 wk 11 |  DAL | 27 | 42 | 238 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 14 | -14.2 | Yes |
| 25 wk 10 | DEN | 16 | 26 | 143 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | -16.3 | No |
| 25 wk 9 |  JAX | 29 | 39 | 284 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 9 | +11.4 | Yes |